🕐19.03.10 - 10:28 Uhr
Altona Energy - Evolution Initiate with a 34p Target - Current price 8p
Please see attached this mornings research note from Evolution on Altona Energy.
They have a 12-18 month price target of 34p, from a current share price of 8p.
Altona Energy (ANR.L) Buy
Price/Target: 8.13p/34.8p
Mkt Cap: 29m
Issued Shares 376m
3mth Avg.
Daily Vol.
1.8m
Share cap.
traded/year 123%
Net Cash/(Debt) (FY1) 0m
Altona Energys licences cover 2,500km2 of the Arckaringa coal basin in
South Australia.
They are estimated to contain a JORC resource of 1.3bnt,
within an overall deposit which could extend to about 7.8bnt.
The size of
the deposit is important in a global context and it is this, and the
amenability of the coal for Coal-to-Liquid transformation, which has
attracted the attention of China National Offshore Oil Co (CNOOC).
We
believe that the joint venture with CNOOC has transformed the outlook
for Altona and the deposit will now be fast-tracked to production.
Buy.
Altona Energy and its joint venture partner, CNOOC, control three major coal
deposits in the Arckaringa Basin of South Australia.
On a combined basis these
deposits are thought to contain at least 7.8bnt of coal, of which about 1.3bnt has
been estimated to updated JORC standards.
All of this coal is expected to be
amenable to Coal-to-Liquid (CTL) transformation.
The link-up with CNOOC and its New Energy Investment subsidiary (CNOOC-NEI)
in November 2009 was a significant development for Altona.
It means that the
group has secured the finance to push forwards with the bankable feasibility study
for the project and secured a commitment to arrange the bulk of the funding that
will be required for development.
We believe that 2010 will be a transformational year for the group as it should see
the publication of ongoing results from the study.
We expect this to lead to a
reappraisal of the economic potential of the project and the companys ability to
share in this upside potential.
The first tangible steps on this path are now being
taken with the recent appointment of a Project Technology Executive.
The latest valuation reference point was the completion of the CNOOC
negotiations, at which point Altona was worth about 11p/share.
Completion of the
bankable feasibility study lifts our valuation to about 35p/share and, as the
operation moves closer to production, we see longer-term upside to 60p/share.
We recommend purchases for both near-term and long-term capital appreciation.
As the risks diminish the rewards should become more apparent.
Buy.
Paul Youens
St Brides Media & Finance Ltd
Chaucer House
38 Bow Lane
London EC4M 9AY
T: +44 (0) 207 236 1177 | M: +44 (0) 7989 384 551 | F: +44 (0) 207 236 1188 | www.sbmf.co.uk
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