🕐24.09.12 - 08:27 Uhr
NEW WORLD OIL & GAS - CPR REDUCES RISK TO 1 IN 5 AT DANICA JUTLAND PROJECT, DENMARK
New World Oil and Gas Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: NEW / Sector: Oil & Gas
24 September 2012
New World Oil and Gas Plc (New World or the Company)
Positive Update to Danica Jutland CPR
New World Oil and Gas Plc, a company focussed on making investments in the oil and gas sector, has received an interim addendum update (CPR Update) to the Competent Persons Report (Admission CPR) as published in the AIM Admission Document and dated 3 July 2012 from RPS Energy (RPS) for the Danica Jutland Project located in the highly prospective Jutland on-shore area in South Western Denmark (the Project).
Summary of the CPR Update and revised New World economics:
* Update follows the completion of Phase 2a of a 2-D seismic acquisition programme on Licence 2/09 (the Licence), consisting of 5 additional seismic lines totalling 56km, over the two identified Triassic prospects, Jelling and Harboe.
* Probability of Geologic Success for Jelling and Harboe upgraded to 1 in 5 from approximately 1 in 8 from the Admission CPR.
* The P50 (Best Estimate) unrisked Prospective Resources as reported on by RPS for Jelling and Harboe are 166.4 Bcf and 351.2 Bcf respectively (see tables 2 and 4), net to New Worlds 80% working interest (on the basis that New World exercises its option to increase this percentage interest upon the acquisition of additional seismic and drilling wells on each prospect), totalling 517 Bcf.
The figures in the Admission CPR, as reduced to a comparable 80% working interest basis, are 292.3 and 305.6 Bcf shown in that report as "Best Estimate".
* The New World calculated indicative P50 Success Case Economics for Jelling and Harboe are US$176 million and US$377.6 million respectively (see tables 1 and 3), net to New Worlds 80% working interest (on the basis as above), totalling US$553.6 million.
The figures as reported in the Admission CPR are US$316.1 million and US$321.5 million respectively.
* The additional seismic data, which is of excellent quality, has resulted in a slight decrease (c.80.9Bcf) in aggregate volumetric figures for Jelling and Harboe, with a small increase in Harboe and a more significant reduction in Jelling.
This is reflected also in the New World economics.
* However, the excellent data has also provided an improved delineation of the structure at the Jelling prospect and a more robust structural configuration of the Harboe prospect leading to the reduction of risk from 1 in 8 to 1 in 5.
* RPS has stated that the licences are large and offer significant exploration potential should a discovery be made.
* With the completion of the Phase 2a seismic programme, New World has applied for the assignment of an additional 12.5% working interest in the Project from the Danish Energy Authority to take the current net working interest to 25%.
* New World also has the option to earn an 80% working interest in the Project upon completion of drilling two wells, as set out in the Farm-Out Agreement (announcement 11 October 2011).
* Also on the Licence, the prospective resource estimate for the Jensen Zechstein oil prospect (as reported in the Admission CPR and adjusted to an 80% working interest) is 48MMbo, and the indicative P50 Success Case Economics is US$667 million - a 3-D seismic programme planned for Q1 2013 will further explore the prospect.
* Volumetrics and indicative P50 Success Case Economics for Jelling, Harboe and Jensen prospects combined equal 134 million BOE and US$1.22 billion (80% WI).
Jelling Prospect
P90
P50
P10
Mean
Gas Initially in Place (GIIP)
(Bcf)
172
279
432
292
Prospective Resources
(Bcf)
126
208
328
219
Table 1: Jelling prospect volumetric results - September 2012 (100% WI basis)
Jelling Prospect
Gross
Bcf
NWOG (80% WI) Bcf
NWOG (80%WI) PV10 $MM
P90
126.0
100.8
95.8
MEAN
219.0
175.2
186.4
P50
208.0
166.4
176.0
P10
328.0
262.4
290.4
Table 2: New Worlds Indicative Success Case Economics Summary for Jelling.
The 80% WI assumes New World elects to exercise its options to increase its WI in the licence in return for further seismic acquisition and the drilling of a well.
Harboe Prospect
P90
P50
P10
Mean
Gas Initially in Place (GIIP)
(Bcf)
276
590
1150
661
Prospective Resources
(Bcf)
203
439
863
496
Table 3: Harboe prospect volumetric results - September 2012 (100% WI basis)
Harboe
Prospect
Gross
Bcf
NWOG (80% WI) Bcf
NWOG (80% WI) PV10 $MM
P90
202.8
162.2
159.4
MEAN
498.3
398.6
434.2
P50
439.0
351.2
377.6
P10
862.7
690.1
760.5
Table 4: New Worlds Indicative Success Case Economics Summary for Harboe.
The 80% WI assumes New World elects to exercise its options to increase its WI in the licence in return for further seismic acquisition and the drilling of a well.
New World CEO William Kelleher said, "Our focus is on systematically de-risking our prospects and this CPR has improved our probability of geologic success from approximately 1 in 8 to 1 in 5 for two of our prospects - a substantial improvement.
This is a positive CPR update and another significant milestone for New World that underpins the tremendous confidence we have in our first Danish project.
Despite the minor decrease in our overall Triassic volumetrics, the excellent seismic data has significantly reduced the risk and after just the second phase of seismic we now have combined P50 indicative volumetrics and success case economic outcomes for our Danica Jutland Project totalling 134 MMBOE and a NPV10 of US$1.22 billion net to New World.
Moreover, these numbers still only include the three of 10 identified prospects or leads which have been formally reported on.
"We have also identified two drillable locations on Licence 2/09 and consider these prospects to be drillable in 2013 subject to the acquisition of additional 3-D seismic in Q1 2013 over the Zechstein Jensen prospect, on Licence 1/09, with results to be updated in another CPR update planned for Q2 2013.
"I look forward to updating shareholders on our continued rapid progress as we unlock the potential value of our two Danish Projects, Danica Jutland and Danica Resources, as well as our Blue Creek project in Belize where we will shortly spud our first well."
In compiling the CPR Update, RPS Energy has used the definitions and guidelines as set out in the Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) by the SPE/WPC/AAPG/SPEE in 2007 as the internationally recognised Standard required by the AIM Guidance Note.
The information contained in this announcement has been reviewed and approved by Andrew Kirchin on behalf of RPS.
Mr.
Kirchin has 25 years of relevant experience in the oil industry and is currently EVP, Consulting (US), with RPS in Houston.
* * ENDS * *
AAPG
American Association of Petroleum Geologists
AVO
Amplitude variation with offset
B
Billion
Bbls
Barrels
Bcf
Billion cubic feet
BOE
Barrels Oil Equivalent
Bo
Barrel of oil
Closure
The vertical distance from the apex of a structure to the lowest structural contour that contains the structure.
Measurements of both the areal closure and the distance from the apex to the lowest closing contour are typically incorporated in calculations of the estimated hydrocarbon content of a trap.
DHI
Direct hydrocarbon indicator
GIIP
Gas Initially in Place
GPoS
Geological Probability of Success
Km
Kilometre
M
metres
M
Thousand
MM
Million
MMbo
Million barrels of oil
Mstb
Thousand stock tank barrels
MMscf/d
Millions of standard cubit feet per day
MMstb
Million stock tank barrels
NPV10
Net Present Value using an annual discount on cashflow of 10% per annum
P10
At least a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
This is a measure of uncertainty not geological or commercial risk
P50
At least a 50% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
This is a measure of uncertainty not geological or commercial risk
P90
At least a 90% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
This is a measure of uncertainty not geological or commercial risk
Play
The combination of reservoir, seal and source that is required to promote the likelihood of a working petroleum system within any given region or fairway.
Prospect
A potential trap which geologists believe may contain hydrocarbons
prospective volumes
Quantities of oil and gas estimated on a given date to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations.
In the event of discovery they are likely to be technically viable and economic to recover
Reefal build-ups
Lithified carbonate build-ups associated with repeated episodes of coral reef formation on a platform edge often in response to minor sea-level change cycles
Reservoirs
A subsurface body of rock having sufficient porosity and permeability to store and transmit fluids
Rotliegendes
The Rotliegend is a sequence of rock strata of early Permian age found in the subsurface of large areas in western and central Europe and mainly consists of sandstone layers.
It is usually covered by the Zechstein.
sq km
Square kilometres
Stb
Stock tank barrels
Scf
Standard cubic feet
SPB
Southern Permian Basin
SPE
Society of Petroleum Engineers
SPEE
Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers
Triassic
Of or belonging to the geologic time, system of rocks, or sedimentary deposits of the first period of the Mesozoic Era - between the Permian and Jurassic periods, about 245 million to 208 million years ago.
WPC
World Petroleum Council
Zechstein
Unit of sedimentary rock layers of Middle to Late Permian (Guadalupian to Lopingian) age located in the European Permian Basin.
For further information please visit www.nwoilgas.com or contact:
Enquiries:
William Kelleher
New World Oil and Gas Plc
Tel: +17134472171
Georges Sztyk
New World Oil and Gas Plc
Tel: +1514 961 2247
Peter Sztyk
Felicity Geidt
New World Oil and Gas Plc
Beaumont Cornish Limited
Tel: +19172157122
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7628 3396
Roland Cornish
Beaumont Cornish Limited
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7628 3396
Jerry Keen
Shore Capital
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7408 4090
Pascal Keane
Shore Capital
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7408 4090
Hugo de Salis
St Brides Media & Finance Ltd
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236 1177
Lottie Brocklehurst
St Brides Media & Finance Ltd
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236 1177
Frank Buhagiar
St Brides Media & Finance Ltd
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236 1177
Notes
New World Oil and Gas Plc is an oil and gas operating company with three highly prospective projects in Belize and Denmark.
New World is operator of all three projects where a systematic programme of seismic acquisition has resulted in multiple prospects being identified and derisked, a number of which have been classified by the Competent Person as being drill ready.
Blue Creek in Belize is the Companys most advanced project where, later this year, drilling is due to commence at B Crest, a prospect with un-risked P50 prospective resources of 92MMbo and a POSg of 1 in 5 as confirmed by a Competent Person.
New World also operates two projects in onshore Denmark located in producing basins covering a combined area of over 2.6 million acres, making it the largest holder of acreage in Denmark.
Management is constantly evaluating additional projects that would complement the Companys growing portfolio, particularly late stage exploration or early production projects located in basins with large proven reserves that, in the opinion of the Directors, are undervalued, underdeveloped or under-performing.
As a result, the Board is actively identifying exploitation opportunities in areas including Africa, South America and South East Asia as it looks to build a leading, diversified oil and gas company.
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